The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development mentioned Wednesday that the coronavirus disaster will deal a “massive” blow this yr to the 37 nations it invests in, however the economies of Central and Eastern Europe may to bounce again rapidly.
In its newest report, the financial institution forecast the economies in its working area will contract about 3.5% this yr, however will rebound subsequent yr. States that joined the European Union in 2004 and 2007 might contract collectively by 4.3% this yr because of the influence of the pandemic, earlier than rebounding to 4.3% development in 2021, the financial institution mentioned.
The report finds that Central and Eastern EU member states suffered far lower than different areas, and that these nations are paving the way in which for the potential of capitalizing on creating provide chains for nations that wish to reduce their dependence on China. “Output in the region is set to fall in 2020, but bounce back strongly in 2021”.
The report concludes with a grim evaluation: “if social distancing remains in place for much longer than anticipated, the recession may be much deeper, with the 2019 levels of output per capita not attained again for years to come”.