The Israeli authorities is ready to carry a Cabinet vote on July 1 on the annexation of all settlement blocs and the Jordan Valley within the occupied West Bank.
As the annexation is going through outcry from the Palestinians and the worldwide group, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is grappling with completely different situations to place his plan into motion.
Netanyahu’s rival-turned ally Benny Gantz, the top of the Blue and White coalition, has linked his help for the annexation plan to the US approval, whereas Washington conditioned its approval on an Israeli settlement between Netanyahu and Gantz.
At the Israeli safety and intelligence stage, the military and the intelligence circles count on that the annexation plan might set off violence within the Palestinian territories.
Speaking to Anadolu Agency, Wadee Abu Nassar, a Palestinian professional in Israeli affairs, believes that Netanyahu would search to use one in every of 4 situations to annex the West Bank.
“Netanyahu might cite the Palestinian, Arab and international opposition and lack of an agreement with the US administration on the annexation map as an excuse to postpone the move,” Abu Nassar stated.
“In this scenario, [Netanyahu] will bet on time. He will keep the annexation on the table, but without setting a specific date for it,” he stated. “Netanyahu, however, might put the annexation into action at any time, most probably before US presidential elections in November.”
Abu Nassar believes that Netanyahu may search to reach an settlement with the US administration on a phased annexation.
“He might start with annexing the settlement blocs close to Jerusalem such as Ma’ale Adumim and Gush Etzion,” he stated.
“This means that he will carry out the annexation step by step and will not annex 30% of the West Bank at once.”
A 3rd state of affairs for the Israeli premier can be turning a blind eye to worldwide opposition and annexing 30% of the occupied territory below US President Donald Trump’s “deal of the century” plan.
Abu Nassar predicts that Netanyahu “might also surprise many people around the world by moving to annex more than 30% of the West Bank in an attempt to appease the Israeli settlers”.
Israeli media earlier prompt that Netanyahu may annex the West Bank on phases, beginning with Ma’ale Adumim, Gush Etzion and Ariel settlement blocs.
“The phased annexation scenario is more likely,” Abu Nassar stated. “This, however, depends on the continuing pressure from the Arab and European countries to make [Netanyahu] rescind the move.”
Abu Nassar opines that in case of mounting pressures from Arab and European nations, Netanyahu may choose to postpone the annexation.
“He, however, might adopt phased annexation if the pressures were weak,” he stated.
According to Abu Nassar, the Europeans are piling strain on the Israeli premier to postpone the annexation till the US presidential elections.
“This comes as chances of Trump to win a second term in office look dim while his Democrat rival Joe Biden has repeatedly underlined his opposition to the annexation and his support for the two-state solution.”
Abu Nassar stated voices are additionally rising inside Israel to grab on Trump’s presence within the White House to hold out the annexation plan earlier than the US election.
Three days of talks on the White House between US and Israeli officers final week about whether or not the US would again the Israeli annexation plan have ended with out success.
Palestinian officers have threatened to abolish bilateral agreements with Israel if it goes forward with the annexation, which can additional undermine the two-state answer.
The West Bank, together with East Jerusalem, is seen as occupied territory below worldwide legislation, thus making all Jewish settlements there – in addition to the deliberate annexation – unlawful.
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